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Lies, damn lies and Statistics

3/4/2015

 
The recent raft of data presented by the Neighbourhood Plan Steering Group purports to show that Winchcombe has engaged well with the process.

Nothing could be further from the truth.  On a closer examination of the figures....


The Neighbourhood Plan Steering Group sent out 2500 postcards and had 95 people respond, or 4% of those asked.  Pretty low and not statistically valid nor remotely credible to make any inference from.  With such a low percentage the statistical chance of the total opposite conclusion being true, is very high.


Recently they have claimed that residents have had 4000 interactions with the Neighbourhood Draft Plan.  But in creating this figure they have included every itemised response and touch as if it was one individual consultation. This means that if (like me) you submitted over 20 points, your inputs are being over-hyped by a factor greater than twentyfold.  
To put this into context the current registration of voters at TBC for Winchcombe and Sudeley is;
 

Sudeley              77
Winchcombe   3870

No one should pretend that the Neighbourhood Plan has had response / interaction from every registered voter, that is palpable misinformation.

An example of how this unrepresentative sample is progressing undemocratic plans, is that only 2 people mentioned a Farmers Market on Abbey Terrace.  However this has resulted in the Plan to remove parking from Abbey Terrace and install a permanent market stall area there!  That is a policy being created from a response of only zero point eight percent (0.08%) of the asked audience. And they have the nerve to describe us, with a membership of 472 as a minority! 

Compare this to the Love Winchcombe postcard
 (click here for full results). This generated 369 responses from a similar letterdrop.  We gained a 15% return rate.

We appreciate your support and involvement in this challenging time for the democratic voice of Winchcombe being heard. 

If you feel let down by the intransigence of the Town Council over the Neighbourhood Draft Plan and its' delivery, now is the time to seriously think whether you wish these councillors to continue to represent you. We all need to be asking questions about how we want Winchcombe to develop and grow and what is going to change if and when councillors refuse to acknowledge a groundswell of demonstrated public opinion asking for further consultation and involvement.

Thank you for your continued support





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